Interest rate and credit risk models
Summary
This course gives an introduction to the modeling of interest rates and credit risk. Such models are used for the valuation of interest rate securities with and without credit risk, the management and hedging of bond portfolios and the valuation and usage of interest rate and credit derivatives.
Content
Topics include:
- Introduction to interest rate and credit markets
- Estimating the term structure
- Short rate models
- Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) framework
- Forward measures
- Forwards and futures
- Structural credit risk models
- Reduced-form credit risk models
- Credit default swaps (CDS)
Keywords
interest rate risk, credit risk, term structure, bonds, interest rate swaps, caps and floors, short rate models, HJM models, bankruptcy, ratings, CDS, structural models, reduced-form models
Learning Prerequisites
Required courses
- Probability and stochastic calculus
- Derivatives
- Econometrics
- Introduction to finance
Learning Outcomes
By the end of the course, the student must be able to:
- Describe the various notions of interest rates and related basic products
- Apply the basic tools duration and convexity for interest rate risk management
- Derive an estimated term structure from market data
- Reconstruct the implied volatility surface for caps, floors, and swaptions from market data
- Implement some basic stochastic interest rate models, including the Vasicek and CIR short rate models
- Apply the industry standard Black and Bachelier models for pricing and quoting caps, floors, and swaptions
- Differentiate between structural and reduced-form models
- Assess / Evaluate Credit Default Swaps (CDS)
Transversal skills
- Use a work methodology appropriate to the task.
Teaching methods
Lectures, exercises, homework
Expected student activities
active attendance at lectures, completing exercises
Assessment methods
- 40% midterm exam
- 60% final exam
Resources
Bibliography
L. Andersen and V. Piterbarg, Interest Rate Modeling, Atlantic Financial Press, 2010.
D. Brigo and F. Mercurio, Interest rate models: Theory and practice, 2nd Edition, Springer Verlag, New York, 2007.
D. Filipovic, Term-Structure Models, Springer Verlag, 2009.
D. Lando, Credit Risk Modeling: Theory and Applications, Princeton University Press, 2004.
A. McNeil, R. Frey, P. Embrechts, Quantitative Risk Management, Princeton University Press, 2015.
Ressources en bibliothèque
- Quantitative Risk Management / McNeil
- Interest Rate Modeling / Andersen
- Term-Structure Models / Filipovic
- Credit Risk Modeling: Theory and Applications / Lando
- Interest rate models: Theory and practice / Brigo
Moodle Link
In the programs
- Semester: Fall
- Exam form: Written (winter session)
- Subject examined: Interest rate and credit risk models
- Lecture: 3 Hour(s) per week x 14 weeks
- Exercises: 2 Hour(s) per week x 14 weeks
- Type: mandatory
- Semester: Fall
- Exam form: Written (winter session)
- Subject examined: Interest rate and credit risk models
- Lecture: 3 Hour(s) per week x 14 weeks
- Exercises: 2 Hour(s) per week x 14 weeks
- Type: mandatory
- Semester: Fall
- Exam form: Written (winter session)
- Subject examined: Interest rate and credit risk models
- Lecture: 3 Hour(s) per week x 14 weeks
- Exercises: 2 Hour(s) per week x 14 weeks
- Type: optional